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Ballarat Safety Report

Comprehensive Analysis 2024-2025

Is Ballarat Safe?

A data-driven deep dive into CSA figures, revealing rising trends, hotspots, and the reality behind the headlines.

Population: ~117,000LGA: BallaratData: CSA Victoria

Executive Snapshot

Total Offences (Annual)

12,450

↑ 8.2%
Highest level since 2019

Rate per 100k

10,800

vs VIC Avg: ~7,600

Primary Concern

Theft from Motor Vehicle

#1 Recorded Offence

Public Place Assault

Stable

Most violence is residential

Crime Composition

Offence Categories

Vehicle Crime Deep Dive

Theft FROM Motor Vehicle vs Theft OF Motor Vehicle

"Theft From" is largely opportunistic (unlocked cars).

Top 5 Specific Offence Types (Volume)

Offender Demographics

Analysis of alleged offender data processed by Victoria Police in the Ballarat Service Area.

Alleged Offenders by Age Group

Gender Breakdown

Males account for ~76% of all processed offenders.

Temporal & Spatial Analysis

Risk by Day of Week

Intensity of recorded incidents.

Where Crime Happens

Detection Method

Police Proactivity vs Victim Reports.

Investigation Outcomes

Resolution rates by category.

Conclusion

Ballarat faces distinct challenges characteristic of a growing regional hub. While total crime is historically high, violent crime remains largely contained within residential settings rather than random public attacks.

Data Sources

  • • Crime Statistics Agency Victoria
  • • AU Crime Tracker (LGA Profiles)
  • • The Courier (Community Sentiment Reports)
Crime Analysis 2025

Is Ballarat a Safe Place to Live?

Comprehensive analysis of Ballarat's crime statistics, trends, and safety profile for 2025

Data Period: Year Ending September 2025
Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria

Executive Summary

Ballarat recorded a Criminal Incident Rate of 6,810.2 per 100,000 population, representing a 10.4% increase from the previous year. The Recorded Offence Rate climbed to 9,030.2 per 100,000, marking a 9.0% rise.

The Verdict: Ballarat remains a generally safe city for the average resident, but it is currently experiencing a criminological crisis of confidence. Safety is highly stratified by geography, with "sanctuary suburbs" like Buninyong and Miners Rest exhibiting incident rates comparable to the safest regions in the state.

2025 Crime Statistics at a Glance

Criminal Incident Rate

6,810.2

+10.4%

Per 100,000 population

Recorded Offence Rate

9,030.2

+9.0%

Per 100,000 population

Total Offences

14,374

Year ending Sep 2025

Across all categories

Homicides

0

-100%

Down from 7 in 2024

The Verdict: Is Ballarat Safe?

Ballarat remains a generally safe city for the average resident, but it is currently experiencing a criminological crisis of confidence.

The Statistical Reality: Crime is rising (Incidents +10.4%, Offences +9.0%), driven by economic stress and a "rebound" in social activity post-pandemic. The risk of property crime (theft, vehicle crime) is higher here than in Geelong.

The Geographic Reality: This risk is manageable. The data clearly shows that safety is a function of geography. By choosing to live in "Sanctuary Suburbs" like Buninyong or Miners Rest, residents can effectively opt-out of the high-crime environment of the CBD and Wendouree.

The Future: The immediate future will likely see a stabilization of these numbers as the new community safety initiatives take root. Until then, residents are advised to practice heightened vigilance regarding property security and to remain engaged with the strong community networks that form Ballarat's most effective defense against crime.

Data Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria (CSA)

Reporting Period: Year Ending September 2025

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